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Clinton edge erodes in three swing states
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Clinton edge erodes in three swing states


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Hillary Clinton may have a tough race on her hands.

A new Qunnipiac University poll finds the former secretary of state trailing former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker in hypothetical head-to-head matchups in crucial the swing states of Virginia, Colorado and Iowa.

Clinton trails Rubio by a margin of 41–43 in Virginia, 38–46 in Colorado and by 36–44 in Iowa, the poll, which was released Wednesday, found. Bush tops Clinton by a margin of 42–39 in Virginia, 41–36 in Colorado and by 42–36 in Iowa. Against Walker, Clinton trails by 40–43 in Virginia, 38–47 in Colorado and 37–45 in Iowa.

The numbers represent a decline for Clinton against the possible GOP opponents. In an April Quinnipiac poll, Clinton bested Bush by a margin of 47–40 in Virginia, 41–38 in Colorado and 41–40 in Iowa. Against Rubio, she was ahead by 48–40 in Virginia, trailed by 40–41 in Colorado and led by 43–40 in Iowa. Against Walker, she was behind by a margin of 41–42 in Colorado, but led in Virginia by 47–40 and Iowa by 44–40.

Underlying Clinton’s slip is an erosion in her favorability numbers.

In Iowa, 45 percent of voters viewed her favorably in an April 9 survey from the university, while a similar number, 47 percent, viewed her unfavorably. By July, just 33 percent viewed her favorably, with 56 percent viewing her unfavorably, a deficit of 23 points. Clinton has faced questions, especially over her use of a private email address to conduct government business as the State Department, as well as foreign donations to her family foundation.

“Do Colorado voters trust Hillary? No, they do not,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Tim Malloy in a press release accompanying the results. “So the door is open to a GOP candidate voters can believe in.”

Clinton is not the only candidate with problems in the three states: Independent Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who is also running for the Democratic presidential nomination and polls second to Clinton in most surveys, did not fare much better against the trio of Republicans, nor did Vice President Joe Biden, who is said to be considering a run.

The survey was conducted between July 9 and 20. Quinnipiac contacted cell phones and landlines of approximately 1,200 voters in each state, producing a margin of error of 2.8 percent.

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